Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.503485 0.559826 0.620625 0.691234 0.771132 0.858909 0.962876
2025-03-23 0.416981 0.494802 0.585218 0.698554 0.837549 1.003380 1.217587
2025-03-30 0.361171 0.446880 0.551340 0.689027 0.867225 1.092083 1.400495
2025-04-06 0.322902 0.413235 0.527684 0.684888 0.897634 1.179022 1.585193
2025-04-13 0.284034 0.373581 0.490678 0.657071 0.890762 1.212303 1.696999
2025-04-20 0.264560 0.356993 0.481512 0.664228 0.930098 1.310104 1.907640
2025-04-27 0.248295 0.342880 0.473773 0.671560 0.968895 1.409146 2.129356
2025-05-04 0.233718 0.329611 0.465615 0.676744 1.003863 1.504440 2.354453
2025-05-11 0.220051 0.316361 0.456070 0.678419 1.032722 1.591883 2.575402
2025-05-18 0.209676 0.307024 0.451319 0.686535 1.071660 1.698030 2.838595
2025-05-25 0.194647 0.289499 0.432704 0.670990 1.070393 1.737176 2.988694
2025-06-01 0.187299 0.283200 0.430838 0.681937 1.113514 1.854575 3.292051
2025-06-08 0.176355 0.270709 0.418587 0.675227 1.126720 1.922624 3.515046
2025-06-15 0.168915 0.263311 0.413990 0.680977 1.162115 2.033775 3.835294
2025-06-22 0.159254 0.251624 0.401458 0.671860 1.169668 2.093795 4.060304
2025-06-29 0.151379 0.242365 0.392301 0.667824 1.185907 2.171333 4.330598
2025-07-06 0.140095 0.226701 0.371250 0.640793 1.156440 2.156931 4.402708
2025-07-13 0.135481 0.222103 0.368949 0.647748 1.192553 2.275992 4.782231
2025-07-20 0.131213 0.217823 0.366882 0.654874 1.229444 2.400074 5.189806
2025-07-27 0.126905 0.213204 0.363879 0.659911 1.262431 2.519090 5.601929
2025-08-03 0.122378 0.207923 0.359324 0.661540 1.288439 2.625555 5.998623
2025-08-10 0.119021 0.204549 0.358032 0.669425 1.328110 2.765941 6.500067
2025-08-17 0.112761 0.195539 0.345713 0.654320 1.317287 2.791364 6.709710